January 2024 National Rent Reports Summarized

Monthly and annual rent changes through December:

Source:Month:Monthly:Annual:Vacancy:
Apartment ListDecember-0.80%-1.00%6.50%
CoStarDecember0.04%0.79%7.43%
Apartments AdvisorDecember0.12%-3.03%N/A
Apartments.comDecember0.00%0.80%7.50%
RedfinDecember-0.20%-0.80%N/A
Zillow Single FamilyDecember-0.20%3.30%N/A
Zillow MultifamilyDecember-0.30%2.70%N/A
Yardi MatrixDecember-0.23%0.30%N/A
Rent.comDecember-0.11%-0.78%N/A
Realtor.comDecember-0.23%-0.40%N/A
Average:-0.19%0.19%7.14%

Rental Housing Tenant Fraud Is Rampant & Increasing

The National Multifamily Housing Council conducted a survey on tenant fraud and the results were alarming. 93.3% of owners reported experiencing fraud in the past twelve months and 70% said the cases are increasing. Within that group:

  • 84.3% have seen applicants falsifying or fabricating pay stubs, employment references or other income documentation
  • 80.0% observed prospective renters misrepresenting information on applications
  • 70.0% reported identity theft, fraudulent ID documents or use of another individual’s personal information
  • 67.1% experienced unauthorized cohabitants, illegal subletting or other actions to evade application or the leasing process
  • 62.9% of respondents reported the use of fraudulent checks or other payment methods
  • 23.8% of their eviction filings were due to fraudulent applications and subsequent failure to pay rent
  • 47.2% of respondents said it varies by jurisdiction, with many of this group calling out Atlanta and markets in Texas and Florida specifically

Respondents were required to write off an average of nearly $4.2 million in bad debt and a quarter (24.5%) of this bad debt, on average, could be attributed to nonpayment of rent due to fraudulent applications.

“There are entire online (tenant) communities that collaborate to discuss fraud,” said Daniel Berlind, who runs Snappt (a company that helps landlords identify fraud) as well as his own real estate firm, Berlind Properties. “There are videos on TikTok that have millions of views, showing how to edit documents. There are entire forums on Reddit that discuss properties and lease-up, what their concessions are and literally give walkthrough guidance to would-be fraudulent applicants and how they can circumvent the process.”

Source: NMHC and Bisnow

Wages Are Rising While Multifamily Rents Are Flat Or Falling

Wages have outpaced rent growth for 13 consecutive months. This trend is likely to persist in the near term helping to balance the massive rent outperformance in 2021.

In addition, wages rising by 4% have a much greater impact than rents rising by 4%. Why?

The median income in the United States is $59,540. A 4% increase is $2,316. If you subtract out a third for state and federal taxes, that leaves you with a $1,529 take home gain.

The median multifamily rent is $1,379 or $16,548 annually. A 4% increase is $662. If both wages and rents rise by 4% then the wage earner is gaining $867 annually ($1,529 – $662).

However, wages are currently rising by over 4% annually while rents are flat and falling: