North and South Carolina Single-Family Home Price Growth and Affordability Entering 2024

The following chart shows the percentage gains (or declines) for home values over a 1, 3 and 12 month period in the Carolinas.

The last column shows the percentage of the median income it takes to make a home payment (principle, interest, taxes and insurance) in that city. It assumes a 5% down payment and 30-year mortgage rates at 6.5%, which is where they were as of this morning.

Historically, borrowers were considered safe if less than 28% of their monthly payment was going to toward the mortgage payment. As of this month, every single city is above 28% with most significantly above, and that is coming off a massive decline in mortgage rates over the last 60 days (they were above 8% at the end of October).

CityStateMonthly3 MonthAnnual%
AndersonSC0.07%-0.06%9.50%42%
GrahamNC0.47%1.97%8.70%48%
FayettevilleNC0.40%1.47%8.10%38%
JacksonvilleNC0.58%1.66%7.90%42%
New BernNC0.38%1.12%7.80%42%
TarboroNC1.03%2.36%7.70%29%
CharlestonSC0.84%3.50%7.30%60%
GoldsboroNC0.28%0.82%7.20%40%
OxfordNC0.43%1.34%7.00%41%
AberdeenNC0.46%1.05%6.90%38%
SanfordNC0.26%1.22%6.60%45%
ShelbyNC-0.83%-1.62%6.60%38%
AsheboroNC0.51%2.38%6.40%45%
ButnerNC0.22%0.68%6.30%32%
GreenvilleNC0.28%1.31%6.20%38%
HendersonNC0.79%1.34%6.20%34%
LexingtonNC0.55%2.43%6.20%51%
North CharlestonSC0.59%2.16%6.20%42%
WilmingtonNC0.35%1.20%6.10%57%
BurlingtonNC0.43%1.65%6.00%35%
BooneNC0.33%1.26%5.80%79%
Siler CityNC0.13%0.63%5.80%45%
ElkinNC0.39%1.76%5.70%36%
Rocky MountNC0.58%1.93%5.70%36%
WilsonNC0.24%0.81%5.70%47%
Chapel HillNC0.41%2.03%5.60%61%
Elizabeth CityNC0.72%2.35%5.60%39%
LenoirNC0.55%2.24%5.40%40%
KingNC0.52%1.81%5.30%35%
Southern PinesNC0.16%0.51%5.00%55%
High PointNC0.25%1.40%4.80%38%
MorgantonNC0.44%1.82%4.70%44%
Winston-SalemNC0.60%2.43%4.70%40%
LaurinburgNC0.31%1.24%4.60%33%
NewportNC0.36%0.85%4.60%44%
WaynesvilleNC0.50%40.51%4.60%56%
HillsboroughNC0.49%1.88%4.50%47%
GreensboroNC0.31%1.34%4.40%37%
PinehurstNC0.16%0.62%4.40%58%
HickoryNC0.42%1.35%4.20%46%
WilkesboroNC-0.26%0.11%4.20%49%
North Myrtle BeachSC0.62%1.34%4.20%51%
ColumbiaSC0.34%1.10%4.10%37%
LincolntonNC0.35%1.77%4.00%41%
SpartanburgSC0.50%2.06%4.00%38%
AshevilleNC0.59%1.95%3.90%66%
Goose CreekSC0.46%1.52%3.90%40%
SumterSC0.02%0.32%3.80%31%
KinstonNC0.36%0.52%3.70%32%
LumbertonNC0.10%0.37%3.70%34%
PittsboroNC0.16%0.66%3.60%57%
HendersonvilleNC0.23%1.05%3.40%56%
GreenvilleSC0.44%1.14%3.40%40%
ClemmonsNC0.29%1.12%3.20%41%
JamestownNC0.10%0.67%3.20%49%
ArdenNC0.50%1.68%3.00%52%
EasleySC0.20%0.48%3.00%41%
CreedmoorNC0.18%0.80%2.70%41%
SalisburyNC0.37%1.24%2.40%42%
StatesvilleNC0.26%1.21%2.20%45%
CarthageNC-0.07%0.37%2.10%39%
KernersvilleNC0.27%1.04%2.10%40%
LelandNC0.15%0.46%2.10%50%
FlorenceSC0.54%0.86%1.90%32%
GreerSC0.21%0.76%1.80%38%
SummervilleSC0.28%1.01%1.80%44%
Boiling SpringsSC0.25%1.26%1.70%41%
DuncanSC0.29%1.26%1.60%37%
OrangeburgSC0.43%0.46%1.50%42%
ApexNC0.25%1.10%1.40%39%
MebaneNC0.19%1.30%1.40%43%
SimpsonvilleSC0.11%0.50%1.40%37%
DurhamNC0.33%1.21%0.90%49%
RaleighNC0.06%0.46%0.90%46%
CharlotteNC0.41%1.59%0.80%46%
ShallotteNC-0.05%-0.21%0.80%50%
Myrtle BeachSC-0.02%0.24%0.30%46%
ConwaySC0.19%0.37%-0.30%50%
LancasterSC0.26%0.82%-0.50%50%
MorrisvilleNC0.24%0.67%-1.20%37%
ClaytonNC0.06%0.16%-3.20%39%
GaffneySC-1.10%-4.20%-4.80%45%
NewberrySC0.16%-1.05%-9.00%35%

Source: Zillow